ERIC Number: ED162437
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1974-Jun
Reference Count: 0
Education Planning: Pupil Forecasting.
Royal Inst. of Public Administration, Reading (England). Local Government Operational Research Unit.
This computer-based system of enrollment projection predicts up to seven years ahead the number of school children of each age and sex who will be in school. The main distinguishing feature of the system is the ability to detect well in advance small changes in the geographical distribution of children. Forecasts are made for zones that will yield about twenty new pupils each year. Because forecasts are made for these small zones rather than for the area as a whole, it is possible to take special account of local factors that may affect the long-term demand for school places. The forecasting system deals with children attending voluntary schools such as parochial schools, children moving into new houses, children moving in or out of the school system, and children outside the area being studied who request enrollment in schools within the area. The prinicpal use of the forecasting system is in determining the timing and location of new school buildings. After the system is running smoothly, it can also be used to plan teacher assignment, school boundary areas, and transportation plans. The system could also be adapted to forecast populations other than school children. (Author/JM)
Publication Type: Guides - General
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Royal Inst. of Public Administration, Reading (England). Local Government Operational Research Unit.
Note: For a related document, see EA 011 043