ERIC Number: ED066781
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1972-Mar
Reference Count: 0
Enrollment Forecasting Handbook Introducing Confidence Limit Computations for a Cohort-Survival Technique.
Braden, Barbara; And Others
This handbook, the result of a study begun in 1968, is designed to assist the forecaster in developing an increased sensitivity to potential changes in conditions affecting enrollments. Study results indicate that school enrollment forecasting is enhanced primarily by (1) knowing the community involved thoroughly, (2) applying a standard forecasting method regularly and often, and (3) assessing the probable error of those forecasts. Material in three sections of the document assists the forecaster by describing information needed to understand thoroughly community influences on school enrollments. In another section, a standard forecasting method known as cohort or percentage survival is described and step-by-step procedures for using that method are presented in a subsequent section. Assistance for use in determining the probable error of this method is provided in the last section, which presents detailed instructions for determining confidence intervals and forms to aid in the computations. (Author/JH)
Descriptors: Computation, Confidence Testing, Data Collection, Enrollment Influences, Enrollment Projections, Enrollment Trends, Facility Planning, Guides, School Demography, Trend Analysis
NESDEC, 55 Chapel Street, Newton, Massachusetts 02138 ($3.50)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Educational Facilities Labs., Inc., New York, NY.
Authoring Institution: New England School Development Council, Newton, MA.