ERIC Number: ED050736
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1970
Reference Count: 0
Information Transfer in 1990.
Hough, Roger W.
Results of a recent study of potential demand for electronic information transfer services in 1970-1990 are presented. Projections are made for new services such as electronic mail, remote library browsing, checkless society transactions, video telephone and others, as well as conventional services such as telephone, telegraph and network program transmission. The principal method used was one of determining a valid projection parameter specific to each service, using past trends including analogous logistic growth curves to project demand for the services, then combining the requirements into common categories such as voice, video, record and data, and written material. Major conclusions of the study indicate that, while voice will continue to dominate in terms of input to a total (both local and long distance) "U.S. information system," other potential services will also generate large amounts of information transfer. (Author)
Descriptors: Automation, Communications, Growth Patterns, Information Dissemination, Information Science, Information Systems, Library Automation, Library Services, Prediction, Technological Advancement
American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 1290 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y. 10019 (Members $1.00, Nonmembers, $1.50)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Moffet Field, CA.
Authoring Institution: American Inst. of Aeronautics and Astronautics, New York, NY.
Identifiers: Information Transfer
Note: Paper presented at the AIAA 3rd Communications Satellite Systems Conference, Los Angeles, California/April 6-8, 1970