ERIC Number: ED050177
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1970-Nov
Reference Count: 0
A Decision Model for Evaluating Potential Change in Instructional Programs.
Amor, J. P.; Dyer, J. S.
A statistical model designed to assist elementary school principals in the process of selection educational areas which should receive additional emphasis is presented. For each educational area, the model produces an index number which represents the expected "value" per dollar spent on an instructional program appropriate for strengthening that area. Although the model is explained in terms of this specific application, the approach proposed could also be used to structure similar decision problems at the district or state levels, or in secondary and pre-school educational systems. The calculation of the index number for a particular area depends on: (1) the relative importance of that area in terms of the overall educational goals; (2) the "utility" or "value" to the decision maker of making an improvement in that area, given the current level of performance; (3) the probability distribution of the results of implementing a particular type of improvement program for that area, given the current level of performance; and (4) the cost of the program. These factors are combined into a statistical formula yielding the desired index number. The use of these indices as decision instruments is also discussed. Statistical data and a bibliography are included. (Author/AE)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Sponsor: Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, Washington, DC. Office of the Commissioner of Education.
Authoring Institution: California Univ., Los Angeles. Center for the Study of Evaluation.