ERIC Number: ED047369
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1971-Feb-5
Reference Count: 0
Projecting School Enrollments: A Research or Political Process?
Fascione, Daniel R.; Herron, William P.
Projecting future school enrollments seems to be a relatively simple mathematical procedure using current population figures, birth rates, migration rates, and grade progression ratios. Resource allocations and education facilities planning are based on these projections. In most American cities, the political power of various interest groups negates the effectiveness of enrollment projections. This situation exists because (1) principals and teachers, anxious to improve their positions, compete among each other for scarce resources, and (2) external political forces from community groups, home and school associations, and citizen watchdog committees place pressures on the school board and administration to alter priorities and to expand or curtail funding and staffing levels. To avoid inequities brought about by pressure groups, educational planners should rely on rigorous research methodology and management planning techniques. (RA)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers: Pennsylvania; Pennsylvania (Philadelphia)
Note: Paper presented at American Educational Research Association Annual Meeting (55th, New York, New York, February 4-7, 1971)