ERIC Number: ED039855
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1970-Mar-3
Reference Count: 0
The After Effects of Putting the Blind Eye to the Telescope.
Cartter, Allan M.
The shortage of PhDs that characterized the past 30 years is over and probably won't be experienced again. Universities which used to employ 50% of the new PhDs, now employ 35-40%, and by the end of this decade, only 25% or less of the new doctorates will enter college teaching. The enrollment rate which yearly increased 10% in the sixties, will slow down to 2-3% in the seventies. It is doubtful that a greater percentage of high school graduates will enter college or that a new influx of non-whites will significantly affect college enrollment. It is also unlikely that many of those who enter a junior college will end up in a senior institution. In addition the college-age growth rate will decline in the late seventies and eighties. The greatest strain will be felt in the graduate schools and by young teaching aspirants receiving their doctorate: there will be less and less demand for their services. This may have the beneficial effect of increasing faculty stability and interest in teaching, of decompressing academic salary scales, and of giving new institutions an opportunity to attract better young faculty and develop quality programs. State planners should be aware of these trends in formulating long range plans. (AF)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: American Association for Higher Education, Washington, DC.
Note: Paper presented at the 25th national conference of the American Association for Higher Education, Chicago, Illinois, March 3, 1970