ERIC Number: ED032842
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1968-Jan
Reference Count: 0
The Development of a Computer Model for Projecting Statewide College Enrollments: A Preliminary Study.
Rensselaer Research Corp., Troy, NY.
The purpose of this study was to develop the schema and methodology for the construction of a computerized mathematical model designed to project college and university enrollments in New York State and to meet the future increased demands of higher education planners. This preliminary report describes the main structure of the proposed computer simulation model as a non-stationary Markovian process with 3 basic segments: "initialization" (input of available data and setting the stage for system dynamics), operation (aging the system's student population and having it flow through the system), and output (describing the characteristics of students at different educational levels). This main structure is designed to act as a "calling" program for "contingency programs," which are separate computer models that provide data to educational planners and alter parameters in the main structure to show the effects of changes in the environment on enrollment projections. Features of the model would provide enough flexibility to meet growing informational needs and to use the capabilities of existing data systems in N.Y. State. Recommendations to the State Education Department of New York are (1) to construct a model that simulates student flows at 1 college as a prototype for a comprehensive state-wide model, (2) to develop a higher education information system for New York State, and (3) to conduct research on the development of desired functional relationships involved in contingency programs. (WM)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Rensselaer Research Corp., Troy, NY.
Identifiers: New York
Note: Report prepared for the Office of Planning in Higher Education, State Education Department, University of the State of New York, Albany, New York