ERIC Number: ED022025
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: N/A
Reference Count: 0
Manpower Forecasting through the Occupational Needs Survey.
Rutgers, The State Univ., New Brunswick, NJ. Inst. of Management and Labor Relations.
To test the efficacy and validity of measuring future manpower needs by means of an employer survey, employer predictions of employment needs as reported in the 1960 Area Skills Surveys, done by the New Jersey Division of Employment Security, were compared with actual employment reported in the Occupational Training Needs Survey conducted in the Newark Labor Market Area in late 1963. The 1963 survey provided data from 337 of 604 employers contacted on September 1963 employment and estimated expansion needs as of September 1965 and September 1968. On a followup form in the fall of 1965 showing their estimated September 1965 employment, 302 respondents indicated actual September 1965 employment, and checked reasons for any discrepancy between the two. Data suggested that, in overall terms, estimates of changes in total employment were reasonably accurate. It was concluded that the estimates collected in 1963 might have served with other available information provide as solid a basis for occupational manpower needs as might be wished, the imperfect estimate was better than none. Improvements would require more personal contact with respondents and would increase costs on an already costly survey, but the enhanced accuracy might make the effort worthwhile. (MM)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Authoring Institution: Rutgers, The State Univ., New Brunswick, NJ. Inst. of Management and Labor Relations.
Identifiers: New Jersey