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ERIC Number: ED017641
Record Type: RIE
Publication Date: 1966-Mar
Pages: 207
Abstractor: N/A
Reference Count: 0
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
METHODOLOGY FOR PROJECTION OF OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS IN THE DENVER STANDARD METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA.
FISHMAN, LESLIE; AND OTHERS
VARIOUS METHODS AVAILABLE FOR A PROJECTION OF OCCUPATIONAL REQUIREMENTS OF A STANDARD METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA (SMSA) ARE REVIEWED, AS WELL AS THE DATA AVAILABLE TO IMPLEMENT THESE APPROACHES. TWO "NAIVE" MODELS ARE RECOMMENDED FOR USE AS BENCH MARKS AGAINST WHICH TO COMPARE MORE SOPHISTICATED APPROACHES--THE "NO CHANGE" MODEL AND A MODEL WHERE THE SMSA CHANGE IS ASSUMED TO BE THE SAME AS THE NATIONAL CHANGE. FOUR SOPHISTICATED MODELS ARE CONSIDERED--(1) THE HISTORICAL, WHERE THE SMSA IS CONSIDERED SO DIFFERENT FROM THE UNITED STATES OR OTHER SMSA'S THAT IT MUST BE TREATED AS A SEPARATE, UNIQUE ENTITY, (2) THE "IDEAL" TYPE MODEL, WHERE INDUSTRIES ARE GROUPED INTO SIGNIFICANT CATEGORIES (E.G., PRIMARY, SECONDARY, TERTIARY), (3) THE METHOD THAT STRESSES OCCUPATIONAL GROUPINGS (E.G., WHITE COLLAR, BLUE COLLAR, SERVICE, AND FARM WORKERS), AND (4) THE METHOD THAT RELATES THE SMSA TO THE NATIONAL ECONOMY. THE TWO MAIN APPLICATIONS OF OCCUPATIONAL PROJECTIONS ARE TO GUIDE EDUCATIONAL PLANNERS AND TO ADVISE ENTRANTS AND POTENTIAL ENTRANTS INTO THE LABOR MARKET. THE LONG-RUN AIM IS TO HELP RATIONALIZE THE OVERALL LABOR MARKET. THE "BEST" PROJECTIONS FOR EDUCATIONAL DECISION-MAKERS ARE THOSE THAT WOULD GROUP OCCUPATIONS BY COMMON BACKGROUND REQUIREMENTS AND THOSE THAT WOULD HELP PREPARE CURRICULUMS FOR AN AUTO MAKING AND MOBILE ECONOMY. APPENDIX I REVIEWS THE LITERATURE ON EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS AND THE DATA AVAILABLE FOR MAKING THESE PROJECTIONS IN THE DENVER SMSA. APPENDIX II DEVELOPS AND APPLIES A METHOD FOR OCCUPATIONAL PROJECTIONS FOR THE DENVER SMSA USING THE MATRIX TOOL. (EL)
Publication Type: N/A
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: N/A
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: Colorado Univ., Boulder. Bureau of Economic Research.
Identifiers: COLORADO; Colorado (Denver)